Phoenix 2012 Real Estate Review

A Look  Back at 2012 for Phoenix Real Estate

The year in review of 2012 for homeowners was an encouraging one to be sure. 2011 was essentially a flat line, and there has not been any appreciation in home prices since 2005. Therefore, the 12 – 29% increase experienced in nearly all Phoenix metropolitan cities in 2012 was the perfect present indeed! If you’re interested in why prices finally made a U-turn and the chances of a repeat performance, feel free to read on.

 Foreclosures, Lender-Owned, Short Sales and Distressed Property in Phoenix

At one time bank owned properties accounted for over 50% of the sales, and when you added in short sales, distressed sales (foreclosures+short sales) were over 75% of the sales in many areas. That trend has been reversed and it is easy to see why when  you look at the number of homes receiving a Notice of Trustee Sale which is the mechanism advising the homeowner that the home is in foreclosure.  The graph above shows the number of Notices by quarter by year for Maricopa county.  Currently we’re approaching levels that were experienced prior to the bubble. The bottom line is with fewer homes going into foreclosure, the fewer bank-owned homes going up for sale.  And because Arizona practices non-judicial foreclosure the shadow inventory is minimal.

The  effect of this decrease of homes going into foreclosure can be seen in the




composition of the sales for the last 10 years.  The above graph shows the sales by month and the type of sales for the greater Phoenix area; normal in dark  blue, short sales in light blue and foreclosure (REO) in brown.  From 2008 through early 2011, foreclosures(brown bars) were a significant portion and normal sales fell significantly.  We also see that normal sales(dark blue) have increased since 2012 as prices have risen.  Short sales have not reduced as quickly as the foreclosures but will as prices rise and economic conditions improve.

Home Value Increases in Phoenix

As I mentioned nearly all Phoenix areas have seen increases in the sales prices and $/square foot of homes sold.  To the left is  a graph for Gilbert showing the average price per square foot for the last three years.  At the beginning of the year the average price/sq.ft. for homes sold was $89.  At the end of 2012, it has risen to $106/sq.ft., a 19% increase.

For the city of Queen Creek, we notice that prices on a per square foot basis started at around $58 and ended at approx. $78/sq.ft. reflecting a 34% gain for 2012.   This was one of the areas that was hardest hit during the decrease in home prices.

Remember these are averages and will vary depending on the house condition, location, age, size, amenities, upgrades and other variables.

If you’re interested in knowing the value of your home, please click on the following link, What is my home worth?

Inventory – Balancing Supply and Demand

In 2009 – 2010 Gilbert listings ranged between 1,400 – 1,900, during 2012 they were in the 350 – 600 listing range and ended 2012 at approximately 540.  This pattern is similar in many other cities.

In the beginning of 2010, Chandler  listings were approximately 1,200.  At the end of 2012, they were 440. This reduction in inventory of available listings has been the driving force in appreciating home values.

The best way to evaluate both supply and demand is to look at the supply of inventory.  The graph to the  left shows the months supply of inventory for various Phoenix area cities.  When the inventory goes up, this indicates that more houses are available on the market compared to the available demand.  A six month supply of inventory is considered normal.  Therefore, the graph shows that there is still robust demand for available homes as they come on the market.    It is still common for a property to receive multiple offers if it is priced appropriately.

 What is in store in 2013 for Phoenix real estate?

The inventory graph also gives us an indication of what is in store for 2013.  As prices rise, fewer homes will be under water and more traditional sales will come on the market at prices than typical short sales and foreclosures.  Some buyers may decide not to buy as prices rise and the supply will seek a more  balanced level between supply and demand. Again 6 months inventory supply is considered normal.   As you can see, each city is at a different stage in returning to balanced supply and demand.  I believe prices will continue to rise in 2013, but not at the rate we’ve experienced in 2012.  My guesstimate is about half the appreciation rate that we’ve seen in 2013.

If you’re interested in receiving home listings as they come on the market, click on Receive Listings Automatically, or if you’re interested in the market value of your home, go to What is my home worth?

Related Posts:

Distressed sales for 2012 compared to 2011

Who really loses on a foreclosure – the bank? Thing again!

In search of happily ever after with a short sale

Helpful Searches:

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Queen Creek Home Search

$910,000 :: 1514 E TREASURE COVE Drive, Gilbert AZ, 85234

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5 beds, 3 baths
Home size: 3,914 sq ft
Lot Size: 13,504 sq ft
Added: 06/27/20, Last Updated: 08/05/20
Property Type: Single Family
MLS Number: 6096338
Status: Active

Highly desirable custom home on the lake in West Lakes Estates in Val Vista Lakes.Large lot has gorgeous view across the water on a very wide portion of the lake. Newer kitchen appliances with gas cooktop in open concept entertainers kitchen. Main level has large family room w/fireplace for gatherings along with two bedrooms & bathroom on the main level, one currently set up as an office. Upstairs the master suite takes up the entire width of the home with a large balcony overlooking the lake where you can relax and stargaze or watch the sun rise over the mountains! Huge walk-in closet, large jetted tub & dual vanities complete the en-suite.Upstairs also has two expansive bedrooms, bathroom and a media room that could be a game room, additional bedroom (or 2) or man-cave? Backyard is

Listed with Keller Williams Integrity First

Brought to you by Gordon Baker, Remax Alliance Group. Call me today at 480-326-8571, or visit my website at!

$465,000 :: 1421 W CLEAR SPRING Drive, Gilbert AZ, 85233

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3 beds, 2.5 baths
Home size: 2,156 sq ft
Lot Size: 6,099 sq ft
Added: 07/16/20, Last Updated: 07/16/20
Property Type: Single Family
MLS Number: 6104212
Community: CORAL POINT REPLAT LOT 76-101
Status: Active

GORGEOUS WATERFRONT HOME! This Stunning 3 bedroom + LOFT/DEN and 2.5 bath home is located in one of Gilbert's most sought after gated lake communities! Upon entering you will fall in love with the dramatic entry way, soaring vaulted ceilings, modern staircase, spacious living room and dining room-all with expansive views overlooking the lake. The beautiful kitchen is light and bright with white cabinets, modern breakfast bar and an eat-in nook-all with incredible views of the lake. This great room floor plan opens into a family room providing a wonderful space to entertain friends and family. In the tranquil backyard you will find an expansive covered, tile patio, lush landscaping, and your private boat dock. Step onto your boat and cruise The Islands lakes for incredible sunsets

Listed with eXp Realty

Brought to you by Gordon Baker, Remax Alliance Group. Call me today at 480-326-8571, or visit my website at!

$999,900 :: 1422 W COMMERCE Avenue, Gilbert AZ, 85233

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5 beds, 5 baths
Home size: 6,298 sq ft
Lot Size: 10,019 sq ft
Added: 02/01/20, Last Updated: 05/28/20
Property Type: Single Family
MLS Number: 6031674
Status: Active

Live in 5,000 sq. ft. of the main home and put guests or a tenant in the 1,200 sq. ft. next gen suite which has a separate entrance. Wakesurf and wakeboard on your private lake from the dock in your own backyard. Owner will include the boat in the sale as a turn-key lakefront luxury experience.

Listed with West USA Realty

Brought to you by Gordon Baker, Remax Alliance Group. Call me today at 480-326-8571, or visit my website at!

$553,000 :: 1414 W CORAL REEF Drive, Gilbert AZ, 85233

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3 beds, 3 baths
Home size: 2,545 sq ft
Lot Size: 1,743 sq ft
Added: 03/13/20, Last Updated: 04/06/20
Property Type: Condo/Townhouse/Co-Op
MLS Number: 6050219
The price of this listing was last reduced on 4/6/2020 by 2%
Status: Active

Waterfront lot with custom inside built in 2007. Custom Alder cabinets in entire home with granite counters. Travertine flooring thru entire home except carpet in 3 bedrooms. Downstairs den with double doors can be changed to a bedroom if needed. Open floorpan with kitchen, dining, and family room all open to view of the lake. Sliding door to cement patio area. Master bedroom has a balcony also. Electric fireplace in family room. Surround sound inside and out. Huge master with his and her sinks , jetted tub. Master has sitting area with wet bar. Both other bedrooms have their own sink area and share toilet/shower. Dual HVAC system . Extra insulation for every efficient home. Washer and dryer are tenants. Fridge stays with offer. Home warranty in place with 2-10. Owner/Agent.

Listed with Sun Canyon Realty

Brought to you by Gordon Baker, Remax Alliance Group. Call me today at 480-326-8571, or visit my website at!


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